2014) “Peer Monitoring and Microcredit: Field Experimental Evidence from Paraguay,” Oxford Development Studies

Given the substantial amount of resources currently invested in microcredit pro-grams, it is more important than ever to accurately assess the extent to which peer monitoring by borrowers faced with group liability contracts actually reduces moral hazard. We conduct a field experiment with women about to enter a group loan pro-gram in Paraguay and then gather administrative data on their repayment behavior in the six month period after the experiment. In addition to the experiment which is designed to measure individual propensities to monitor under incentives similar to group liability, we collect a variety of the other potential correlates of behavior and repayment. Controlling for other factors, we find a very strong causal relationship between the average monitoring propensity of one’s loan group and repayment. Our lowest estimate suggests that borrowers in groups with above median average moni-toring are 36 percent less likely to have a problem repaying their portion of the loan. In addition, to confirming some previous results, we also find some evidence that risk preferences, social preferences and cognitive skills affect repayment.